There is a lot going on with the reasons that insiders are buying and selling shares some of which have nothing to do with the company. You should never rely on insider trading to tell you anything about the direction of the share price. Always use limit orders when trading penny stocks as opposed to market orders. Only trade penny stocks from the Bulletin Board or the major Markets. Do not trade penny stocks which are on the Pink Sheets and other dark markets.
You should only use candle stick trading charts when looking at penny stocks. If you don’t understand what candle stick charts are, or you don’t understand how to read them then there is a video that we will put a link to which will explain everything. Its my explanation of how candle stick charts work and all the benefits that there are with them. So check it out!
Share holder turn over is the utmost importance when trading penny stocks. When you see at least 25% of the total outstanding shares trading over the course of weeks or a couple of months. At the same time when the share price has not really changed not either higher nor lower, then you can assume great share of share holder turn over. Whats happening is that long time share holder , frustrated investors are getting rid of their shares. At the same time that selling pressure is being met by buying demand by new share holders. The share holder base is turning over so the mix is gone, more newer investors and fewer long term investors.
By their nature a newer investor is much less likely to sell their shares. They just bought, they’re expecting the shares to go higher and thats why they got involved in the first place. The trading volume of a penny stock is going to tell you a lot more then the trading activity.
So its great to know the price of the shares are at but even more important is to look at how many shares trading to put the shares to that price. If you watch the trading volume you get an idea of things like; the sustainability of the price moves and share holder turn over. Typically when you look at a trading chart you’re gonna see the price of the stock on the top half of the chart and the bottom half of the chart you’re gonna see the trading volume.
So even if you’re doing any kind of technical analysis at all using the trading chart to try and predict what share price is going to do. You need to make sure that any patterns you see are formed by enough trading volume or else they are entirely unreliable. For example, if you see a stock jump up 75% or 115% but it did that on only 400 shares traded. You can be certain that the share price activity is going to reverse and the stock is going to come back down. With penny stocks its so important to watch the management team. People tend to do what they have always done.
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So if the current CEO of the current stock you are watching has bankrupted 3 of the last 5 companies they were with they’ll probably be pretty bad for this one too. So do a quick google search on all the top executives and management. Take a look at what companies they were with previously? What positions did they hold?
How did the companies they were with perform during their tenure. Insider and Institutional investor holdings are so important when trading penny stocks. If, 95% of shares are held by mutual fund managers and hedge fund managers. Then that only leaves about 5% of the shares which you see traded day to day to retail investors like you and I.
Since institutional investors are usually in it for a much longer time frame. All the trades you are seeing are usually are just retail investors like you and I and are typically over done and they usually will reverse. This is why its so important to keep an eye on the institutional ownership of a penny stock and try to get an idea of how many shares are out there that are being actively traded compared to how many shares out there that are being held long term but professional traders.
The impact of artificial events will typically be temporary. By artificial I mean things like government grants, stock promotions, government subsidies, stock by back plans. For example; if there is a stock by back plan in a penny stock, they are buying the their shares and taking them off the market and that’s going to create artificial demand. That artificial demand will increase the price of the shares temporarily. Eventually when that buy back has ended the share price will trade to where it would have been trading to in the first place if it weren’t for the buy back.
Read “Penny Stocks for Dummies!” Yes I’m bias because I wrote the book, and if you buy it I make a small royalty but this is the book I wish I had read when I got started trading penny stocks at 14 years old. It would have helped me avoid thousands of dollars in stupid mistakes and it would have helped me make thousands of dollars more. If you don’t want to spend the $23 for it then take it out from the library or borrow it from a friend.
Any one interested in Penny Stocks should read “Penny Stocks for Dummies.” Most penny stock investors average down when they are holding shares of a stock which they bought and then it decreased in price. They buy more of a losing company to try to bring their average price per share down but their actually just throwing more good money after bad. Typically when you average down you’ve already made a mistake when you tired to pick that stock in the first place and now you’re just putting money into that losing investment and it typically tends to keep on going down. Whats better and a more effective strategy that we’ve found in our opinion, is to average up. When you buy shares of a penny stock and it starts to move in the right direction then you put more money in to the winning bet because that stock maybe, is just getting started and its got a lot higher to go.
When trading penny stocks always use stop loss orders. With penny stocks its so important to make sure that your small losses don’t become big losses and stop losses is one way to do this. On the other side of the coin when you do have a stock that is going in the right direction then you want to let the gains run. Penny stocks typically have a way of going up a lot more then you would anticipate that they could in the first place. Investors sentiment is a contrarian indicator. When everyone believes that a stock is going to fall or collapse in price the shares are more likely to go in the exact opposite direction.
This is because people act on their beliefs. If everyone is expecting the stock market to crash, everybody is selling their shares. What happens then is when everyone who wants to sell has done so, even a little bit of buying turns things around and starts driving the prices higher. Penny stocks whether in an up trend or down trend are most likely to continue on in that exact same trend.
Now, they will eventually break out of that trend and reverse but its very difficult to time and anticipate when that change of direction may occur. SO the trends you need to understand will typically last a lot longer then people would expect and a lot longer then they should. Always get started with trading penny stocks just like I did, by paper trading. You need to notice and avoid your own confirmation bias. People see what they want to see and if you see two sides of one argument you may gravitate towards the one side that supports your opinion. This can be incredibly costly for trading penny stocks.
You need to notice and avoid all of your own confirmation bias and just look at the objective facts. Do not believe or blindly follow what the mass media is telling you. Instead use it as a tool to understand what the masses are going to be believing, how they are going to be acting. This is going to help you avoid getting involved in investments at over priced levels because everyone’s crowding around to buy the same thing. Out of this understand the way the media works and understanding the impact media has on the masses of society. It’s going to open up so many more massive opportunities for you that gonna make all the difference.
Invest in penny stocks in penny stock companies which you understand and then call the investor relations contact of those companies and ask questions, try the products or services that they sell if you are able. Even better make an unannounced drop by of their head office if its possible just to see whats going on , see what kind of company you’re dealing with. In other words, invest your time before you invest your money. Penny stock picks which you hear about for free regardless of how you heard about them when you hear about them for free there is always hidden motivations behind those stock picks.
This is even true of the stocks that you hear through the rumour mill or the co worker who tells you about this new hot investment. Your poor co worker doesn’t even realize that they have fallen victim to the promoters “pump and dump” scheme in the feeding of the rumours that they are putting out there. You need to avoid free stock picks, people get burned by this more then anything else in penny stocks.
Only trust penny stock picks which come from a service with a 100% unbiased guarantee. This is the only way that you are going to know that they have your best interest at heart and they put your interests first. My team and I have found that the most effective way to find and trade penny stocks is to locate the high quality companies first using extensive fundamental analysis. Then we use technical analysis to try and find the most opportune buying and selling prices of those stocks.